Strategic Games
www.strategicgames.com.au
 
 




TRISTAN BARNETT

   







CONTACT


strategicgames@hotmail.com
www.strategicgames.com.au


JOB EXPERIENCE


2009-2012 Infoplum: Live predictive modelling in tennis, football codes, basketball, netball using analytic methods in Excel. Live predictive modelling in T20, One-Day and Test cricket using simulation. Project management skills.

2012 Tennis Australia: Consulting work in sports performance modelling.

2008 Centrebet: Predicting live outcomes in tennis, AFL, NBA, ice hockey, soccer, NFL using analytic methods in Excel.

2003-2007 Ladbrokes: Predicting live outcomes in tennis using analytic methods in Excel.

2002-2005 Tutor/Lecturer: 'Chance and Gaming' statistics subject at Swinburne University.


REFERENCE


Arun Khanna. CEO Infoplum.
P: (03) 98078222
E: arun@infoplum.com


QUALIFICATIONS


1999 Bachelor of Science: Information and Communication Sciences
Macquarie University, Sydney

2002 Graduate Diploma in Operations Research: Mathematical Sciences
University of Technology, Sydney

2006 Doctor of Philosophy: Faculty of Life and Social Sciences
Swinburne University of Technology, Melbourne


APPOINTMENTS 

 
2007-2008 Adjunct Research Fellow: Faculty of Life and Social Sciences
Swinburne University of Technology, Melbourne

2009-2010 Adjunct Lecturer: Faculty of Business and Law
Victoria University of Technology, Melbourne

2011-2012 Adjunct Research Fellow: School of Mathematics and Statistics
University of South Australia, Adelaide

2013-2019 Alumni member
Macquarie University, Sydney


COURSES


2003 Media training course
Swinburne University of Technology, Melbourne

2004 The Leadership and Entrepreneurship Attributes Development program
Swinburne University of Technology, Melbourne


THESIS

Barnett T (2006). Mathematical modelling in hierarchical games with specific reference to tennis, PhD thesis, Swinburne University of Technology, Melbourne. (pdf) 


BOOKS

Barnett T and Brown A (2012). The Mathematics of Tennis. Strategic Games. (pdf)  

Barnett T (2019). Operations Research in Tennis. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). The Book of Tristan. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). Resolving Problem Gambling: a mathematical approach. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). The Mathematical Modelling of Sport: using recurrence formulas in Excel. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). The Mathematics of Conflicts. Strategic Games. (pdf)


PUBLICATIONS

 

Barnett TJ and Clarke SR (2004). Optimizing returns in the gaming industry for players and operators of video poker machines. Proceedings of the International Conference on Advances in Computer Entertainment Technology. National University of Singapore, 212-216. (pdf)

Barnett T and Clarke SR (2005). Combining player statistics to predict outcomes of tennis matches. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics. 16(2), 113-120. (pdf)

Barnett T, Brown A and Pollard G (2006). Reducing the likelihood of long tennis matches. Journal of Sports Science & Medicine. 5(4), 567-574. (pdf)

Pollard G and Barnett T (2006). Fairer service exchange mechanisms for tennis when some psychological factors exist. Journal of Sports Science & Medicine. 5(4), 548-555. (pdf)

Barnett T and Pollard G (2006). Reducing injuries by substantially decreasing the likelihood of long tennis matches. Medicine and Science in Tennis. 11(2), 10-11. (pdf)

Barnett T and Cross R (2007). How the tennis scoreboard affects player performance. Medicine and Science in Tennis. 12(2), 6-8. (pdf)

Barnett T and Pollard G (2007). How the tennis court surface affects player performance and injuries. Medicine and Science in Tennis. 12(1), 34-37. (pdf)

Pollard GH, Barnett T, Brown A & Pollard GN (2007). Some alternative men's doubles scoring systems. Tennis Science and Technology 3. Roehampton. S. Miller and J. Capel-Davies (eds), 301-309. (pdf)

Barnett T, Brown A and Jackson K (2008). Modelling outcomes in volleyball. In proceedings of the Ninth Australian Conference on Mathematics and Computers in Sport. (pdf)

Barnett T and Pollard G (2008). Applying match statistics to increase serving performance. Medicine and Science in Tennis. 13(2), 24-27. (pdf)

Brown A, Barnett T, Pollard GH, Lisle I and Pollard GN (2008). The characteristics of various men's tennis doubles scoring systems. In proceedings of the Ninth Australian Conference on Mathematics and Computers in Sport. (pdf)

Brown A, Barnett T and Pollard G (2008). A recursion method for evaluating the moments of a nested scoring system. In proceedings of the Ninth Australian Conference on Mathematics and Computers in Sport. (pdf)

Barnett T (2009). Applying tennis match statistics to increase serving performance during a match in progress. Journal of Medicine and Science in Tennis. 14(3), 16-19. (pdf)

Barnett T (2009). Gambling your way to New York: A story of expectation. CHANCE. 22(3) (pdf)

Barnett T (2010). Using game theory to optimize performance in a best-of-N set match. Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports 6(2). (pdf)

Barnett T (2010). Applying strategies to the tennis challenge system. Journal of Medicine and Science in Tennis 15(1), 12-15. (pdf)

Barnett T (2010). Applying the Kelly criterion to lawsuits. Law, Probability & Risk 9(2), 139-147. (pdf)

Barnett (2010). How the interpretation of match statistics affects player performance. Journal of Medicine and Science in Tennis 15(2), 23-27. (pdf)

Barnett T (2010). Applying mathematics to poker machine regulations to increase consumer protection. Gaming Law Review and Economics 14(8), 601-607. (pdf)

Barnett T (2010). How the court surface is affecting serve-and-volley. Journal of Medicine and Science in Tennis 15(3), 26-28. (pdf)

Barnett T (2011). How much to bet on video poker. CHANCE. 24(2). (pdf)

Barnett T (2011). Obtaining a fair arbitration outcome. Law, Probability & Risk 10(2), 123-131. (pdf)

Barnett T (2011). Who are the best tennis players? Significance - web exclusive. (pdf)

Barnett T (2011). Improving the Australian Open extreme heat policy. Journal of Medicine and Science in Tennis 16(1), 5-9. (pdf)

Barnett T (2011). Predicting a tennis match in progress for sports multimedia. OR Insight 24(3), 190-204. (pdf)

Barnett T (2011). Devising a World Cup in tennis. Significance - web exclusive. (pdf)

Barnett T (2011). Devising new Australian Rules football scoring systems. Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports 7(3). (pdf)

Barnett T (2011). Challenges with the tennis challenge system. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2011). Is Blackjack the solution to problem gambling? Significance - web exclusive. (pdf)

Barnett T (2012). Automating online video poker for profit. Gaming Law Review and Economics. 16(1-2), 15-20. (pdf)

Barnett T (2012). Game theoretic solutions to tennis serving strategies. Coaching & Sport Science Review 56. (pdf)

Barnett T (2012). Analyzing tennis scoring systems: from the origins to today. Journal of Medicine and Science in Tennis 17(2), 68-77. (pdf)

Barnett T (2012). Does publicity resolve disputes? Significance - web exclusive. (pdf)

Barnett T (2012). Safer gambling. Significance - web exclusive. (pdf)

Barnett T (2012). Kelly strikes again. Significance - web exclusive. (pdf)

Barnett T (2013). Developing a tennis calculator to teach probability and statistics. Journal of Medicine and Science in Tennis. 18(1), 30-34. (pdf)

Barnett T (2013). Summarizing tennis data to enhance elite performance. Coaching & Sport Science Review 61, 21-24. (pdf)

Barnett T (2013). Teaching probability theory through tennis. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2016). A recursive approach to modelling the amount of time played in a tennis match. Journal of Medicine and Science in Tennis, 21(2). (pdf)

Barnett T (2014). Some alternative men's grand slam singles scoring systems. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2014). Creating a data design model for sports multimedia. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2014). Modelling outcomes in badminton. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2014). Modelling outcomes in volleyball 2. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2014). Applying the Normal Power approximation to a tennis set. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2016). Optimal use of tennis resources. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2016). A new political platform based on yoga principles. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2016). Applying point-by-point tennis data to improve performance. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2016). Suggestions to improving tennis regulations. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2016). Winning a game of tennis: using the Binomial Theorem. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2016). Winning a game of tennis: using Markov Chain theory. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2016). Winning a game of tennis: using backward recursion. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2016). Winning a game of tennis: using forward recursion. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2016). Duration of a game of tennis: using the Binomial Theorem. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2016). Duration of a game of tennis: using backward recursion. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2016). Duration of a game of tennis: using forward recursion. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2016). Duration of a game of tennis: using generating functions. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Pollard G and Barnett T (2018). Some new 'short' games within a set of tennis. International Journal of Computer Science in Sport, 17(1), 67-76. (pdf)

Byrnes T and Barnett T (2018). Generalized framework for applying the Kelly criterion to stock markets. International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 21(5). (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). Why game theory is important to universities. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). An alternate system to the Australian Tertiary Admission Rank. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). Workplace bullying is equivalent to murder. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). Suggestions to improve tennis scorings systems and the challenge system. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). Suggestions to improve scoring systems across a range of racket sports. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). Risk taking in life. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). Why criminal law is unnecessary. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). Modifying the Australian federal election voting system to reflect Indigenous cultural heritage. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). How spiritual advancement can prevent and resolve mental health disorders. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). Assessing drug diagnosis in treating bipolar, depression and generalized anxiety. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). Scientific evidence that God exists. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). The fifth force of nature. Stratgic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). Is sex the highest form of pleasure? Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). What is the highest level of philanthropy? Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). Plagiarism in academia. Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). Should someone be banned from church? Strategic Games. (pdf)

Barnett T (2019). A scientific approach to obtaining world peace. Submitted to the 13th annual conference on The Political Economy of International Organization.



MEDIA

 
February 2000. Tristan's studies come up aces. North Shore Times. (jpg) 

February 2003. Serving up bold predictions. Jewish News. (jpg) 

February 2003. All those extra points are pointless. Australian Financial Review. (doc) 

May 2003. Run like you stole something. 102.7 FM radio.

June 2003. Australian tennis has to outgrow grass roots. Australian Financial Review. (doc)
 

February 2004. Getting the most points is not always enough. Australian Financial Review. (doc) 

November 2004. Fairer go for idols. Progress Leader. (doc)  

January 2005. Game, set, stats. North Shore Times. (doc)
  
January 2005. Aussie Open surface hinders an Australian winner: research backs Hewitt's claim - SEN Sports radio 1116 AM (doc)
January 2005. The speed of the court surface used at the Australian Open can be misleading. Australian Financial Review. (doc) 

May 2005. A statistical challenge to what's really exciting about tennis. Australian Financial Review. (doc) 

June 2005. Formula that says Federer will win. The London Sunday Times. (html)
January 2006. Mathematicians can play a role in tennis medicine. (mp3)

April 2006. Tennis future under scrutiny. North Shore Times. (jpg) 
 
August 2006. Federer v Nadal: It's all about the court. Almanac. (jpg)
 
August 2007. Beating the Odds. UTS: Stay Connected. (pdf)
 
January 2009. How to beat heat delays at the Australian Open. (doc)
 
January 2010. Line calls still a challenge for players says VU academic. (doc)
 
January 2010. Late starts at Australian Open can be prevented says Victoria University academic. (doc)
 
June 2010. A fair deal in law is on the cards. (doc)
 
September 2010. Save the heartache and crown a golden goal hero. (docx)
 
October 2010. Odds are there's a safer way to play pokies. (mp3)

June 2011. Probable improbabilities. UTS Tower Magazine - Issue 4 Autumn 2011. (pdf)

June 2012. No humbling a great gambler. Australian Financial Review. (html)
 

PRESENTATIONS

Using Microsoft Excel to model a tennis match. The Sixth Australian conference on Mathematics and Computers in Sport, 2002. (ppt)

Forecasting a tennis match at the 2003 Australian Open. The Fifth International Congress on Industrial and Applied Mathematics, 2003. (ppt)

Optimal use of tennis resources. The Seventh Australian Conference on Mathematics and Computers in Sport, 2004. (ppt)

Forecasting a tennis match at the 2003 Australian Open. The 24th International Symposium of Forecasting, 2004. (ppt)

Forecasting a tennis match at the Australian Open. Australian Society for Operations Research Melbourne Chapter: Student Conference, 2004. (ppt)

Optimal use of tennis resources. Australian Postgraduate Workshop on Stochastic Processes and Modelling, 2005. (ppt)

Reducing injuries by substantially decreasing the likelihood of long tennis matches. Australian Society for Operations Research Melbourne Chapyer: Student Conference, 2005. (ppt)

Reducing the likelihood of long tennis matches. Australian Postgraduate Workshop on Stochastic Processes and Modelling, 2006. (ppt)

Reducing injuries by substantially decreasing the likelihood of long tennis matches. The 8th International Congress of the Society for Tennis Medicine and Science, 2006. (ppt)

Reducing the likelihood of long tennis matches. The 8th Australian Conference on Mathematics and Computers in Sport, 2006. (ppt)

Applying the cumulant generating function to tennis. 50th Annual Meeting of the Australian Mathematical Society, 2006. (ppt)

Reducing the Likelihood of Long Tennis Matches. Australian Postgraduate Workshop on Stochastic Processes and Modelling, 2006. (ppt)

Generalizing the 'Kelly' Betting Strategy to Allow for Multiple Payouts. Australian Society for Operations Research Melbourne Chapter: Student Conference, 2006. (ppt)

Some alternative men's doubles scoring systems. Tennis Science and Technology 3, 2007. (ppt)

Modelling outcomes in volleyball. The 19th National Conference of the Australian Society for Operations Research, 2007. (ppt)

Modelling outcomes in volleyball. The 9th Australian Conference on Mathematics and Computers in Sport, 2008. (ppt)

Applying match statistics to increase serving performance during a match in progress. The 10th International Congress of the Society for Tennis Medicine and Science, 2008. (ppt)

Gambling your way to New York. Australian Society for Operations Research Melbourne Chapter: Recent Advance, 2008. (ppt)

Generalizing the 'Kelly' Betting Strategy to Allow for Multiple Payouts. The 14th International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking, 2009. (ppt)

Using game theory to optimize performance in a best-of-N set match. The 7th International Symposium on Computer Science in Sport, 2009. (ppt)

Applying mathematics to poker machine regulations to increase consumer protection. The 19th Annual Conference for the National Association for Gambling Studies, 2009. (ppt)

Applying strategies to the tennis challenge system. The 16th ITF Worldwide Coaches Conference, 2009. (ppt)

Applying Risk Theory to Game theory. The Australian Society for Operation Research Melbourne Chapter: Recent Advances, 2009 (ppt)

Risk taking in badminton to optimize in-the-run performance. The 10th Australian Conference on Mathematics & Computers in Sport, 2010. (ppt)

Applying risk theory to game theory. Second Brazilian Workshop of the Game Theory Society, in honor of John Nash, on the occasion of the 60th anniversary of Nash equilibrium, 2010. (ppt)

Applying mathematics to poker machine regulations to increase consumer protection. Australian Society for Operations Research Melbourne Chapter: Recent Advances, 2010. (ppt)

Obtaining a fair arbitration outcome. The Australian and New Zealand Industrial and Applied Mathematics conference, 2011. (ppt)

Analyzing tennis scoring systems: from the origins to today. Conference for the International Federation of Operational Research Societies, 2011. (ppt)

Game theoretic solutions to tennis serving strategies. The 17th ITF Worldwide Coaches Conference, 2011. (ppt)

Automating online video poker for profit. The Australian Society for Operation Research Melbourne Chapter: Recent Advances, 2011 (ppt)

Developing a tennis calculator to teach probability and statistics. The 11th Australian Conference on Mathematics & Computers in Sport, 2012. (ppt)

The mathematics of tennis. The 13th Australian Conference on Mathematics & Computers in Sport, 2016. (ppt)


INVITED TALKS

Some alternative men's doubles scoring systems. Australian Society for Operations Research - Melbourne Chapter, 2007. (ppt)

Applying mathematics to poker machine regulations to increase consumer protection. Centre for Gambling Education & Research: Southern Cross University, 2009. (ppt)

Generalizing the 'Kelly' betting strategy to allow for multiple payouts. Applied Mathematics Seminars: Swinburne University, 2009. (ppt)

Applying the Kelly criterion to lawsuits. Operations Research Seminars: University of Melbourne, 2010. (ppt)

Obtaining a fair arbitration outcome. Centre for Industrial and Applied Mathematics: University of South Australia, 2011. (ppt)

Mathematics in sport. Careers Evening: Australian Mathematical Sciences Institute, 2011. (ppt)

Mathematics for life. Festival of Innovation: University of South Australia, 2011. (ppt)


WORKSHOPS
 
Analysis of Hierarchical Games: Defence Science and Technology Organization. Mathematics in Industry Study Group. University of South Australia, 2003. (html)

Influence Diagrams to Support Decision Making: Defence Science and Technology Organization. Mathematics in Industry Study Group. RMIT, 2010. (html)


EXECUTIVE COMMITTEES

 

2005-2006 Statistical Society of Australia - Victoria Branch. (html) 

  

2008-2010 Australian Society for Operations Research - Melbourne Chapter. (html)


PROGRAM COMMITTEES

2006 The 8th Australian Conference on Mathematics & Computers in Sport. (html)

2008 The 9th Australian Conference on Mathematics & Computers in Sport. (html)

2010 The 10th Australian Conference on Mathematics & Computers in Sport. (html)

2011 Conference for the International Federation of Operational Research Societies. (html)

2012 1st International Conference on Operations Research and Enterprise Systems. (html)

2012 The Seventh International Multi-Conference on Computing in the Global Information Technology. (html)

2012 The 11th Australian Conference on Mathematics & Computers in Sport. (html)

2013 2nd International Conference on Operations Research and Enterprise Systems.


REVIEW PANEL

2010-2012 Journal of the Operational Research Society. (html)

2010-2012 Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports. (html)

2010-2012 International Gambling Studies. (html)



AWARDS
 
The Denise Lievesley award to attend the 55th session of the International Statistics Institute, 2005. (pdf)

ARC Linkage Project: David Dowe (CI), Tristan Barnett (PI) and Arun Khanna (PI). Rating and ranking sports players and teams using minimum message length, 2010. (html)

Inducted into The Order of the Royal Honor (Official Group) on facebook, 2019. (html)


ESTABLISHED LINKS

The Wizard of Odds (world's best site for gambling mathematics) (html)

OnCourt (world's best site for tennis statistics software) (html)

Smartgambler (html)


CONTENT  

Sports calculators to estimate match outcomes (pdf):
Tennis1 (xlsx)
Tennis2 (xlsx)
Australian Rules football (xlsx)
Rugby League (xlsx)
Rugby Union (xlsx)
Soccer (xlsx)
Badminton, Table Tennis, Volleyball, Beach Volleyball and Squash (xlsx)

Tennis calculators with alternate scoring systems to estimate match outcomes (pdf):
50-40 games (xlsx)
60-50 games (xlsx)
50-40* games (xlsx)
No-Ad games (xlsx)
No-Ad* games (xlsx)

Performance tennis calculator on when to challenge a line call (xlsx)

Gambling calculators to obtain expected losses and risk profiles (pdf)
:
Roulette (xlsx)
Big Wheel (xlsx)
Poker Machine (xlsx)

Software to determine a "fair" arbitration amount in civil law disputes (xlsx)
Software to detemine the 'Kelly Equilibrium' in 2x2 zero-sum games (xlsx)

Software on when to fire a missile in warfare (xlsx)

Outline of a tertiary level sports statistics course 'Tennis Statistics with Applications to other Sports' (pdf)

Outline of a tertiary level gambling statistics course 'Resolving Problem Gambling: a mathematical approach' (pdf)

Outline of a tertiary level conflicts statistics course 'The Mathematics of Conflicts' (pdf)